Breadth Weakens as Energy and Industrials Lead
Market conditions deteriorated this week as breadth weakened across regions and sectors. The percentage of stocks in uptrends fell. About 10% of NYSE stocks gave point-and-figure sell signals. The share of stocks above their 50-day moving averages dropped sharply. Major indexes stayed within longer-term uptrends, but leadership narrowed and risk rose as correlations threatened to […]
Global Stocks Lead as US Breadth Narrows and Energy Surges
The US market remains in a secular bull that begins in 2013, and the S&P continues to work higher over time while staying well above the 200-day moving average. Near term, the S&P chops sideways from early December into late February, with seasonality in the back half of February often less supportive. Under the surface, […]
Market Crosscurrents: Rotation, Breadth, and Risk
Markets have been choppier in February, with volatility picking up and leadership diverging beneath the surface. The S&P 500 is down about 1.5% for the month and roughly flat on the year, and it has moved below key shorter-term moving averages.
Caterpillar, Gold, and Energy Stocks to Watch
Where Are Net Inflows and Relative Strength Improving?
Markets continue to be in a long-term upward trend, yet the beginning of the year has revealed notable disparities among various sectors. While the overall index appears inconsistent, the underlying indicators are more robust. The equal-weight S&P and the advance/decline line are approaching new peaks, and the TSX has consistently reached new highs, despite the […]
Markets in Motion: Volatility, Commodities, and Positioning
Markets have started the year trading much like they ended last year, with broader participation and strong relative performance in commodities and industrially linked areas alongside improved results outside the US. January saw significant bullish flow, but last week brought a sharp volatility shock across commodities, including large swings in oil and natural gas and […]
Earnings in Focus: Celestica Sells Off, Meta Gains, Tesla Reverses
Celestica traded lower after earnings despite reporting strong results, including beats on revenue and expectations, solid operating margins, and 64% year-over-year growth in its connectivity and cloud solutions business. The selloff appeared larger than what the earnings report alone would suggest, and the focus was on waiting for the stock to stabilize and identify key […]
Equities Hold Steady as the Dollar Weakens
Equity markets continue to hold firm, with the S&P 500 at new highs, but leadership is becoming more broadly distributed. Earnings are coming in slightly ahead of expectations, with improving momentum outside the US. Mega cap stocks have lagged year to date, while smaller capitalization stocks and economically sensitive sectors are showing stronger participation as […]
US Defense Budgets Lift Aerospace and Industrial Stocks
James Callahan of Barometer Capital Management discusses Northrop Grumman’s latest earnings, the broader outlook for US defense contractors, and how rising defense budgets and key nuclear programs are shaping long term prospects across the sector. The conversation also covers Boeing’s improving delivery trends, General Motors’ earnings strength despite a weak auto market, and why […]
Opportunities Are Expanding Beyond the Headlines
Markets continue to reflect an early-stage, broadening bull market, driven by expanding participation rather than narrow leadership. Headline indices such as the S&P 500 and NASDAQ 100 remain constructive, but equal-weight measures outperform, signaling that the average stock is doing better than the largest names. Market breadth expands across global equities, correlations fall, and capital […]