Barometer Capital

Market Crosscurrents: Rotation, Breadth, and Risk

Markets have been choppier in February, with volatility picking up and leadership diverging beneath the surface. The S&P 500 is down about 1.5% for the month and roughly flat on the year, and it has moved below key shorter-term moving averages.

Where Are Net Inflows and Relative Strength Improving?

Markets continue to be in a long-term upward trend, yet the beginning of the year has revealed notable disparities among various sectors. While the overall index appears inconsistent, the underlying indicators are more robust. The equal-weight S&P and the advance/decline line are approaching new peaks, and the TSX has consistently reached new highs, despite the […]

Markets in Motion: Volatility, Commodities, and Positioning

Markets have started the year trading much like they ended last year, with broader participation and strong relative performance in commodities and industrially linked areas alongside improved results outside the US. January saw significant bullish flow, but last week brought a sharp volatility shock across commodities, including large swings in oil and natural gas and […]

Earnings in Focus: Celestica Sells Off, Meta Gains, Tesla Reverses

Celestica traded lower after earnings despite reporting strong results, including beats on revenue and expectations, solid operating margins, and 64% year-over-year growth in its connectivity and cloud solutions business. The selloff appeared larger than what the earnings report alone would suggest, and the focus was on waiting for the stock to stabilize and identify key […]

Equities Hold Steady as the Dollar Weakens

Equity markets continue to hold firm, with the S&P 500 at new highs, but leadership is becoming more broadly distributed. Earnings are coming in slightly ahead of expectations, with improving momentum outside the US. Mega cap stocks have lagged year to date, while smaller capitalization stocks and economically sensitive sectors are showing stronger participation as […]

US Defense Budgets Lift Aerospace and Industrial Stocks

James Callahan of Barometer Capital Management discusses Northrop Grumman’s latest earnings, the broader outlook for US defense contractors, and how rising defense budgets and key nuclear programs are shaping long term prospects across the sector.   The conversation also covers Boeing’s improving delivery trends, General Motors’ earnings strength despite a weak auto market, and why […]

Opportunities Are Expanding Beyond the Headlines

Markets continue to reflect an early-stage, broadening bull market, driven by expanding participation rather than narrow leadership. Headline indices such as the S&P 500 and NASDAQ 100 remain constructive, but equal-weight measures outperform, signaling that the average stock is doing better than the largest names. Market breadth expands across global equities, correlations fall, and capital […]

A Strong Start to 2026 as Equity Leadership Broadens

In our first webcast of 2026, we review market conditions from a top down perspective and note improving breadth across global equities. The percentage of stocks in established uptrends has been rising, and the equally weighted S&P 500 making new highs indicates broader participation beyond the largest companies. Leadership has shown signs of rotation toward […]

Markets Broaden as Financials Lead and AI Adopters Emerge

Market leadership continues to broaden as economically sensitive sectors gain traction. Financials remain the strongest global leadership group, supported by improving breadth, stable credit conditions, and firm relative performance. Industrials, materials, transportation, and metals producers are also showing expanding participation, signaling a healthy cyclical advance rather than a narrow, mega cap driven market. Inflation sensitive […]