Markets continue to show signs of underlying strength, with leadership emerging in select areas. Shifts in participation and capital flow suggest a changing tone beneath the surface.
Key Points:Structural Bull Market Remains Intact
Markets continue to behave like a long-term secular bull cycle—higher highs, higher lows, and strong breadth. The April pullback retested the 2022 trendline and rebounded sharply. Demographic tailwinds, especially millennial accumulation, mirror the 1980s–1990s bull market environment.
Global Equities Breaking Out
Europe, Japan, and Canada are outperforming the U.S. as new bull markets are taking shape. Stronger local currencies and stock markets (e.g., EUR, JPY, CAD) are drawing capital back into non-U.S. markets. Barometer continues to build global exposure, now 16–17% in most portfolios.
Commodities and Precious Metals Gaining Strength
Gold, silver, copper, and uranium (e.g., Cameco, Hudbay) are in clear uptrends. Copper surged 12% on tariff speculation and is breaking out of a 15-year base. Commodities are outperforming both bonds and equities—signaling ongoing inflation risks and strong investor interest in real assets.
Financials and Industrials Leading the Market
Broker-dealers (e.g., Morgan Stanley, Goldman Sachs), global banks (e.g., Santander), and industrials (e.g., GE Vernova, MDA, Embraer) are showing textbook leadership. Capital markets banks are strong, and infrastructure-related names are benefiting from global investment and defense spending.
Selective Tech Exposure Rebuilding
Exposure remains focused on cash-generating, dividend-growing tech leaders like Microsoft, Nvidia, and Broadcom. These stocks are outperforming as investors prioritize profitability and resilience over speculative growth. Nvidia and semiconductors have rebounded strongly after April’s selloff.
Avoiding Bonds and Defensive Sectors
Barometer remains underweight rate-sensitive areas like bonds, REITs, healthcare, and utilities. Long-term yields are trending higher globally, and many defensive names show weakening relative strength. Focus remains on sectors with stronger momentum and inflation protection.