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Equity breadth (bullish %) continues to weaken. Transports are a window on demand. $iyt $spy $dia
Transports look ready to take another leg lower should they break these levels. Barometer portfolios have elevated cash and are hedged with index futures. Should short and long term indicators start to reverse, hedges will come off and cash will be deployed. No sign yet that short term correction has run it’s course.
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Follow thru day?
Unless equities rally to end the afternoon, today will go down as a follow thru day to the downside. The early week bounce appears to be failing. Breadth has been weakening in major indices opening the door to seasonal weakness. Barometer portfolios are hedged with index futures and have reduced long positions over the last […]
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Looking forward to an hour with @BNN @Marketcall at 1 PM today
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Mind the Gaps
Mondays market action was clearly much better than at the end of last week. Indices and sectors rallied into the gaps that were left when the market dropped Thursday. From here, follow through would be required to become more bullish however, no short or long term breadth indicators reversed back positive with Monday action. Bullish percent […]
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Correction? Our Take…a brief Barometer Readings Webcast $SPY $QQQ $DIA.
http://bit.ly/2vXuH0B
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Financials Re-Accelerate – 2 Minute Video
What can be gleaned from yesterdays move higher in financials as it relates to forward looking returns. $XLF $IAI $KBE $KCE Click here to watch 2 minute video
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Recent trading ranges resolving…bonds and energy making moves $TLT $TLH $XOP
Much has been made of the recent tight ranges in many asset classes. It appears that we are moving through the end of thes tight trading ranges. Bond prices appear to moving lower…bullish for interest sensitives like financials, and industrials. And energy shares after consolidating their move up from the lows in January appears to […]
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Do consensus bearish sell-side forecasts lead to down markets? This may not surprise you 😉
From a BAML report, their Sell Side Indicator is based on the average recommended equity allocation of Wall Street strategists as of the last business day of each month, they have found that when Wall Street strategists are bearish, markets tend to go the other way. In fact, with BAMLs indicator at the most bearish level […]
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“Never short a quiet market”. Tightest trading range in 40 years…and no deterioration in breadth. $SPY
After coming back from what many considered the brink in February on expanding market breadth, the S&P500 made new all-time highs in June. Since then the market has traded sideways in the tightest consolidation range in forty years, working off an over-bought condition. During this period, while many managers and investors have been reducing equity […]
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New highs and improving breadth yet, “la…la…la…”
This is the excerpt for your very first post.